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Liberals enjoy sizeable lead at the start of New Brunswick election: Corporate Research Associates survey

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CRA

Gallant tops list as preferred leader

NEW BRUNSWICK – Prior to the Sept. 24 provincial election, the New Brunswick Liberal Party continues to hold a comfortable lead over other provincial parties in terms of voter support, according to the most recent survey conducted by Corporate Research Associates Inc.

Specifically, one-half of New Brunswick decided and leaning voters support the Liberals (50 per cent, compared with 45 per cent of decided voters in May 2018). Meanwhile, three in 10 decided and leaning voters back the PC Party (30 per cent, compared with 31 per cent), and seven per cent support the New Democratic Party (down from 13 per cent). Green Party support is stable this quarter (seven per cent, unchanged), while six per cent of decided and leaning voters back the People’s Alliance of New Brunswick (compared with four per cent).

The number of residents who are undecided rests at 14 per cent (compared with 31 per cent three months ago when leaning voters were not included), while six per cent refuse to state a preference (unchanged), and five per cent either support none of the parties or do not plan to vote (compared with four per cent).

At a glance

  • One-half of decided and leaning voters support the New Brunswick Liberal Party, maintaining its position as the preferred party in the province
  • Consistent with last quarter, one-half of residents express satisfaction with the performance of the New Brunswick government
  • Premier Brian Gallant continues to be the preferred party leader in the province

In terms of government performance, satisfaction is stable, as one-half of New Brunswickers are satisfied with the performance of the provincial government (50 per cent, unchanged from three months ago), while four in 10 are dissatisfied (42 per cent, compared with 39 per cent), and seven perc ent do not offer an opinion on the matter (compared with 10 per cent).

With regards to leader preference, support for Premier Brian Gallant is at 35 per cent (compared with 32 per cent in May 2018), while preference for PC leader Blaine Higgs stands at 23 per cent (compared with 20 per cent), and support for Green Party leader David Coon rests at eight per cent (compared with 11 per cent). Meanwhile, Kris Austin of the People’s Alliance of New Brunswick is preferred by six per cent (compared with four per cent), and NDP leader Jennifer McKenzie is backed by five per cent (down from nine per cent). Finally, five per cent of New Brunswick residents prefer none of these leaders (unchanged), while 17 per cent (compared with 19 per cent) do not offer a definite opinion.

These results are part of the CRA Atlantic Quarterly®, an independent telephone survey of Atlantic Canadians, and are based on a sample of 600 adult New Brunswickers, conducted from Aug. 1-19, 2018, with overall results accurate to within ± 4.0 percentage points, 95 out of 100 times.

Corporate Research Associates (CRA), www.cra.ca/, is one of Canada’s leading public opinion and market research companies. Founded in 1978, CRA is dedicated to providing clients with state-of-the-art research and strategic consulting services.

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